 Estimated Earnings Trend: Looks great - still BULLISH
Valuation: The average stock is still BEARISH. The S & P 500 remains VERY BEARISH Sentiment: Still BEARISH Current Stock Exposure: Still 100% LONG because of earnings. An optional 50% hedge might help you to sleep better.
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 Earnings Estimate Trend: Still BULLISH
Valuation: The average stock is BEARISH. The S & P 500 is VERY BEARISH. Sentiment: Too many bulls around now. This indicator is now BEARISH. Current Stock Exposure: Since earnings are positive, my model is still 100% LONG but a hedge of, say, 50% of the portfolio would seem prudent to me.  Earnings Estimate Trend: Still BULLISH
Valuation: S & P 500 very overvalued. Average stock just barely neutral. Overall BEARISH/NEUTRAL Sentiment: Remains NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Looking better. Maintaining 100% LONG No charts this week but I thought I would post an update:
Earnings Estimate Trend: Still BULLISH Valuation: S & P 500 is still overvalued. The average stock is barely out of the overvalued zone. Overall, valuation remains BEARISH/NEUTRAL Sentiment: Remains NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Getting hurt but I remain 100% LONG  Earnings Estimate Trend: Remains BULLISH
Valuation: S & P 500 is grossly overvalued. Average stock not so much. Remains NEUTRAL/BEARISH Sentiment: Remains NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Continuing at 100% LONG  Earnings Estimate Trend: Looks pretty good - BULLISH
Valuation: The S & P 500 is more than 10% overvalued but 4th quarter earnings will start being reported soon - NEUTRAL/BEARISH Sentiment: Improves to NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Still 100% LONG  Estimated Earnings Trend: Earnings are increasing and 4th quarter earnings should help. BULLISH.
Valuation: Still NEUTRAL/BEARISH Sentiment: Worsening again and now NEUTRAL/BEARISH Current Stock Exposure: Maintaining a fully invested position. 100% LONG  Earnings Estimate Expectations: Earnings are doing OK within the context of flat results for the past 15 months. This indicator remains NEUTRAL.
Valuation: Still NEUTRAL/BEARISH Sentiment: Improved a bit and is now NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: I remain 100% LONG Earnings Estimate Trend: Still NEUTRAL
Valuation: Deteriorating and now NEUTRAL/BEARISH Sentiment: Remains NEUTRAL/BEARISH Current Stock Exposure: I might take a small hedge but I'm still 100% LONG. Happy New Year! Earnings Estimate Trend: Still just barely NEUTRAL
Valuation: Hanging in at NEUTRAL Sentiment: Deteriorating and now NEUTRAL/BEARISH Current Stock Exposure: Still 100% LONG - Merry Christmas! |
With my wife on Aruba
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