 Earnings Estimate Trend: No improvement - BEARISH
Valuation: The average stock is NEUTRAL - The S & P 500 is record BEARISH Sentiment: Some complacency is sneaking in - BULLISH/NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: The market is getting dangerous again - 100% HEDGED
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 Earnings Estimate Trend: Couldn't be much worse - BEARISH
Valuation: Still NEUTRAL Sentiment: Remains BULLISH Current Stock Exposure: Holding a 100% HEDGED position  Earnings Estimate Trend: A steep downtrend continues: BEARISH
Valuation: Stocks are still not really cheap. NEUTRAL Sentiment: Fear is still in command. BULLISH Current Stock Exposure: Continuing a 100% HEDGED position  Earnings Estimate Trend: The collapse in estimates continues - still BEARISH
Valuation: Remains NEUTRAL Sentiment: Still BULLISH/NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: As long as earnings estimates are declining, my model is 100% HEDGED  Earnings Estimate Trend: A severe decline in estimates for the next year have turned this indicator BEARISH
Valuation: Weakness in stock prices has not been enough to improve valuation. Still NEUTRAL Sentiment: There is a great deal of concern. Indicator remains NEUTRAL/BULLISH Current Stock Exposure: Volatility dictates a large cash position or a 100% HEDGED stance.  Earnings Estimate Trend: Moving lower but trend is still BULLISH
Valuation: It is disappointing that we are still a long way from turning positive. Indicator is NEUTRAL Sentiment: Panic has turned sentiment to BULLISH/NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Holding at 100% LONG  Earnings Estimate Trend: Estimates are coming down but the trend is still BULLISH
Valuation: Remains NEUTRAL Sentiment: Still NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: Maintaining my position at 100% LONG  Earnings Estimate Trend: Still BULLISH
Valuation: Everything improves to NEUTRAL Sentiment: Also improves to NEUTRAL Current Stock Exposure: No hedge now - 100% LONG  Estimated Earnings Trend: Looks great - still BULLISH
Valuation: The average stock is still BEARISH. The S & P 500 remains VERY BEARISH Sentiment: Still BEARISH Current Stock Exposure: Still 100% LONG because of earnings. An optional 50% hedge might help you to sleep better.  Earnings Estimate Trend: Still BULLISH
Valuation: The average stock is BEARISH. The S & P 500 is VERY BEARISH. Sentiment: Too many bulls around now. This indicator is now BEARISH. Current Stock Exposure: Since earnings are positive, my model is still 100% LONG but a hedge of, say, 50% of the portfolio would seem prudent to me. |
With my wife on Aruba
December 2019 Categories |
| Wall Street Model |
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